Monday 25 February 2013

Markets Speak: Aluminium Forwards Contango Has Increased Gradually In 2013

Aluminium....

Aluminium forwards in LME are experiencing a rise in contango though on a slower basis. The contango is the condition when the forward prices are higher than the cash markets. The rise in contango is due to the fact that the inventories of Aluminium in hand are still quite higher and as the global demand picks up this can start to come down. But as of now the rise of Dollar and the fall in Chinese demand is hitting the spot markets hard.

Aluminium forwards were at a premium of $ 36 per tonne at the beginning of this year from where they have increased to $ 42 per tonne currently. The prices of LME forwards when last checked were at $ 2034 per tonne. Spot Aluminium in London was at $ 1993 per tonne.(http://www.mcxfreetips.com/mcx-commodity-services.htm)

Aluminium was in limelight this year when World Bank said that the commodity will be a winner in substitution affect compared to Copper. High prices of Copper and cheaper Aluminium will create mismatch between the two commodities that will help Aluminium. However, all the metals have come down since the forecasts due to lower appetite from China that these days consumes 40% of major metals in the world.
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